Saturday, July 16, 2005

13 Riskiest Real Estate Market - Sarasota, Florida is not on the list

Off the list

You’ll be glad to read the Kiplinger’s Personal Finance list of the nation’s 13 riskiest housing markets and see that Sarasota-Bradenton-Charlotte is not on it.

“Soaring prices and the emergence of a generation of wet-behind-the-ears real estate investors stoke fears that the boom is turning into a bubble that will burst,” says the report, released this afternoon.

“Another reason for concern: the growing number of houses bought as investments: nearly one-fourth of purchases over the past year were investments, and they’re concentrated in a few markets. ”

Here’s the list, with the probability of a decline in prices over the next two years rated as a percentage:1. Boston, 53 percent (the area has lost 200,000 jobs since 2000 and home prices remain high); 2. Los Angeles, 40 percent; 3. San Francisco, 40 percent; 4. Sacramento, Calif., 40 percent; 5. Providence, R.I., 39 percent (no population or job growth); 6. Detroit, 38 percent (auto sales are awful); 7. New York City, 31 percent; 8. Minneapolis-St. Paul, 25 percent; 9. Fort Lauderdale, 23 percent; 10. Denver, 21 percent; 11. Washington, D.C., 19 percent; 12. Miami, 18 percent; 13. Tampa-St. Petersburg, 14 percent.

The problem in the Florida markets, says Kiplinger’s, is that investors are jacking up prices to the point retirees can’t afford them.

From the Sarasota Herald Tribune:
http://www.sarasotaherald.com/apps/pbcs.dll/section?category=BLOG12

Investors are not the only ones making the prices go higher. Retirees and people planning on retiring in the next few years are also big buyers in this market.

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